The Sleight of Hand Behind the ‘One-Time Adjustment’ and ‘Transitory’ Tariff Inflation Narrative
“Tariffs are a one-time price adjustment.” This quote is the bold yet defensible claim U.S.…
CPI
Dr. Duru A Fed Calm Before A Market Storm?
I left the Federal Reserve’s latest decision on monetary policy with three simple observations besides…
A Fresh Opportunity to Fade Bonds As A Marginal Change in Inflation Ignites A Near Oversold Market
Financial markets set up the next trade to fade the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond…
Bonds Try to Weigh on A Market Trying Harder to Look Past Stabilizing Inflation
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November met “expectations”. As a result, the latest confirmation…
Inflation Stabilization Firms with Robust Services Spending
The Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation indicator, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, hit a…
The Federal Reserve Is Paying Attention to Stabilizing Core Inflation
A month ago I asked who is paying attention to stabilizing core inflation? The question…
Who Is Paying Attention to Stabilizing Core Inflation?
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for September extended a stabilizing trend for core inflation.…
An Inflation Story
Reuters recently published a panoramic view of inflation over the past several years. While the…
Now the Market Just Needs the Rate Cuts
There is clearly something magical in seeing an inflation measure carry a negative sign. The…
Fed’s Powell Avoids the Obvious: Inflation and Interest Rate Forecasts Make Little Sense
The Federal Reserve rolled out its latest statement on monetary policy which included an updated…